BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Guthrie Center

Class: ZZ Class Rank: 43 Conference: ZZ Record: (6-4-0) Overall: (19-28-0) Overall Strength =   50.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L *  61.20   6  19   ZZ  28 ( 23- 11-  0) Avoca AHST             10.99    -23.99                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    L    60.72   6  30   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        10.51    -34.51                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    L    54.93   0  27    8   6 ( 75- 29-  0) Audubon                 4.72    -31.72                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W    46.86  14  13    A  54 ( 24- 68-  0) Oakland Riverside      -3.35      4.35                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    15.77   0  35    8  41 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -34.44     -0.56                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    L    20.69   0  55    A  20 ( 54- 46-  0) Madrid                -29.52    -25.48                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W    48.12  12   7    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       -2.09      7.09                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    38.78   0  28    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham               -11.43    -16.57                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    70.41  14  39   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter              20.20    -45.20                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    L    41.18   6  46   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        -9.03    -30.97                      
 11 08/31/2012 Home    L    27.73   6  45    A  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                 -22.47    -16.53                      
 12 09/07/2012 Home    L    29.87   0  46   1A  20 ( 62- 35-  0) Woodward-Granger      -20.34    -25.66                      
 13 09/14/2012 Away    L    45.04  20  38    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                -5.17    -12.83                      
 14 09/21/2012 Away    L    39.39   8  14    A  58 ( 12- 70-  0) Woodward Academy      -10.82      4.82                      
 15 09/28/2012 Away    L    60.47   7  32    8   6 ( 75- 29-  0) Audubon                10.26    -35.26                      
 16 10/05/2012 Home    W    61.22  28  14    8  41 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   11.02      2.98                      
 17 10/12/2012 Away    W   113.32  49   6    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                63.11    -20.11                      
 18 10/19/2012 Home    W    76.14  26  22    A  20 ( 54- 46-  0) Madrid                 25.94    -21.94                      
 19 08/30/2013 Away    L    70.72  14  28   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        20.51    -34.51  ND                  
 20 09/06/2013 Away    L    29.28   0  41    A  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                 -20.93    -20.07  ND                  
 21 09/13/2013 Away    L    39.41   7  47   1A  20 ( 62- 35-  0) Woodward-Granger      -10.80    -29.20                      
 22 09/20/2013 Away    W    92.04  35   6    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                41.83    -12.83                      
 23 09/27/2013 Home    W    55.85  34  20    A  58 ( 12- 70-  0) Woodward Academy        5.64      8.36                      
 24 10/04/2013 Home    L    54.93   6  33    8   6 ( 75- 29-  0) Audubon                 4.72    -31.72                      
 25 10/11/2013 Away    W    69.77  29  10    8  41 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   19.56     -0.56                      
 26 10/18/2013 Home    W    83.78  35  18    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                33.57    -16.57                      
 27 10/25/2013 Away    L    28.69   6  53    A  20 ( 54- 46-  0) Madrid                -21.52    -25.48                      
 28 10/30/2013 Away    L *  31.20  13  56   ZZ  28 ( 23- 11-  0) Avoca AHST            -19.01    -23.99                      
 29 08/29/2014 Home    W *  82.95  52  28   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton                32.75     -8.75                      
 30 09/05/2014 Away    W    52.17  34  12    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas          1.96     20.04                      
 31 09/12/2014 Home    L    34.94   7  41    8  13 ( 64- 35-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -15.27    -18.73                      
 32 09/19/2014 Away    W    44.03  33  32    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 -6.18      7.18                      
 33 09/26/2014 Home    L    42.37  33  59    8  15 ( 66- 36-  0) Glidden-Ralston        -7.84    -18.16                      
 34 10/03/2014 Away    W *  45.28  58  18   ZZ  69 (  2- 35-  0) Ankeny Christian       -4.93     44.93                      
 35 10/10/2014 Home    W    45.84  24  20    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union       -4.37      8.37                      
 36 10/17/2014 Away    W *  95.06  49   6   ZZ  42 ( 19- 20-  0) Blairsburg Northeast   44.85     -1.85                      
 37 10/24/2014 Away    W *  92.26  99  66   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey            42.05     -9.05                      
 38 10/29/2014 Away    L    65.71  12  33    8   5 ( 92- 20-  0) Newell-Fonda           15.50    -36.50                      
 39 08/28/2015 Away    L *  38.50   0  24   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton               -11.71    -12.29  ND                  
 40 09/04/2015 Home    W    80.63  60   6    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas         30.42     23.58  ND                  
 41 09/11/2015 Away    L    13.48  20  79    8  13 ( 64- 35-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -36.73    -22.27                      
 42 09/18/2015 Home    L    16.49  23  46    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -33.72     10.72                      
 43 09/25/2015 Away    L     1.91   0  70    8  15 ( 66- 36-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -48.30    -21.70                      
 44 10/02/2015 Home    L *  11.34  48  62   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview  -38.87     24.87  ND                  
 45 10/09/2015 Away    L    -8.62  12  66    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -58.83      4.83                      
 46 10/16/2015 Home    W *  33.32  76  72   ZZ  55 ( 10- 31-  0) Charter Oak-Ute       -16.88     20.88  ND                  
 47 10/23/2015 Home    W *  87.71  48  16   ZZ  38 ( 35- 20-  0) Adair-Casey            37.51     -5.51                      
      Averages              49.85  22.7 33.7

Best game:  113.32 = 43 point win over Earlham
Worst game:  -8.62 = 54 point loss to Afton East Union
Team stdev:  26.38